I’m enjoying Tim Bray’s technology predictor success matrix series very much. It gave me an idea too. I hereby present the “Internet scale distributed system predictor success matrix, aka ISDSPSM.

The predictor I’m going to use is “Uses a constrained interface”. That is, whether or not the interaction semantics between components are constrained in any way. The technologies are a mix of systems that attempted to be deployed on the Internet at one time.

Winnersscore Losersscore
Web 10 CORBA 0
Email 10 DCOM 0
IM 10 DCE 0
IRC 6 ONC 0
Napster 7 RMI 0
DNS 10 Linda 10

I included Linda to show that constrained interfaces are not a sufficient condition for success. But they sure seem necessary, wouldn’t you say?

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